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Betting strategy (I may have broken the casinos)
I think I may be on to something here. As some of you who are familiar with cards, dice, etc. may be aware, there is a betting strategy known by the casinos called the Martingale System. In the Martingale System, you double your bet every time you lose. If you win, you keep betting the minimum, $5. But imagine you lose a few times, 5, 10, 20, 40. Now you bet 80 and win. 5 + 10 + 20 + 40 = 75, so you bet 80 and win, you get back the 75 you just lost, plus another 5. Then you just start over again at 5.

Here's where the "old way" breaks down: Most tables have a max limit, typically 1,000. Eventually you're going to hit a losing streak. 80, 160, 320, and then 640 would be the end of the road. There are guys out there who use the Martingale System "the right way". Go onto the floor with a big sack, play for an hour or two, pay for dinner and drinks for the night. The guys who think they're going to make infinite money eventually hit that losing streak and goes bust. The house knows it. They've already seen it a million times before.

But here's "the new way": You're going to need a larger initial sack. How much I don't know, but a lot. The more the better. So go in and find a game with straight odds, like horses or sports or whatever. Then you take nothing but over 50% bets.

Imagine a coin flip, for example. You flip a coin 20 times, you might get a streak one way or the other. 14 heads, 6 tails. 3 heads, 17 tails. But you flip the coin a thousand times, those numbers smooth out. The gap between 3 and 17 is much bigger than the gap between 1,003 and 1,017.

So, if you go in and only take the over 50% bet every time, you're essentially betting on a coin flip that's slightly in your favor. As time goes on and you make more and more bets, you're eventually guaranteed to make money.

Thoughts?
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quantically, your pool of floating money will become so attractive that an outside force will spontaneously draw itself into stealing it.

Martingale gets you attention and reputation, and that's what you do not want. it is a systemic flaw, to be avoided.
Last edited by rabapraba p; 15 Jul @ 4:01am
If it was that easy everyone would be doing it.
I feel like the limiting factor here is time and money. It's going to take a relatively long time to make a modest amount of profit, and you're going to need a large initial pot to forestall going bust from an early losing streak.

I have to wonder if I'm not the first person to have this thought, as it's basically just a numbers game and not some new scheme involving technology or whatever. I would have to imagine the pit watchers are also hip to this game and might eventually try to ban a guy who was too successful.
I’ve actually done that strategy before and it only goes so far. Back when games where still ran by adobe flash player I played a game called “Dead Frontier” where there is a dealer you let you pick 1 card out of 3. If you win then you get a 2 to 1 payout. Not too bad, right? (Minimal bet is 100 zombie dollars)

But your bets only go as far as how much money you actually have. Because I tried this strategy before and I got to the point where I cannot afford to make a big bet to get my money back.
Yes this has been thought of before..
Its called doubling down.

And no , it's not going to guarantee you victory or cash.
The only thing you will be guaranteed is to lose all your money.

Do you really think you are smarter than a casino?

Guess how many people though that before you.

Guess where they are.

NOT AT THE CASINO.
If you lose then you have to keep doubling your bet to get it back. But each time you lose that money doubles again.

For fun let’s do a hypothetical scenario where there is a game with a 50 dollar minimum bet.

Bet 50 dollars. Loses. Bets 100 dollars. You need 150 dollars in total to get it back.

Bet 50 dollars. Loses. Bets 100 dollars. Loses again. Bets 200 dollars. You need 350 dollars in total to get it back.

Bet 50 dollars. Loses. Bets 100 dollars. Loses again. Bets 200 dollars. Loses again. Bets 400 dollars. You need 750 dollars in total to get your money back.
I used to use a 'system' similar in betting strategy in principle note in principle not that model.

It required a combination of internal mathematics , quantum physics and being able to recognise when your brain is about to implode.
Internal mathematics meaning calculations i am only vaguely aware of consciously, a sped up version that i would check through so I would not 'disappear ie zone out'.
Quantum Mechanics, in theory with personal strategy in which I would never attempt to try and write down even in picture form it would be a giant task on multiple levels / dimensions of writing.

Incorporating the additional figures of betting.
My brain / head would increase in temperature as I let it do its work.

When I play on the gameing side of betting now, its just have a small limit and I will ensure whatever I earn I will lose it in that same session. I play to enjoy the game not the resulting money.
Want to know why?
Because it saps enjoyment out of existence to want to gain that way.

Anybody who thinks of trying to work out my 'strategy / system' and implementing it, do not.
Your brain / ego / conscious / sub conscious is not capable of it.

Fact.
Last edited by Corvus XIII; 15 Jul @ 4:32am
Gamba 15 Jul @ 4:32am 
If you had you would't be sharing it lol
Why on earth would you risk ever increasing losses for the chance of winning $5? Betting is a get poor quick scheme. If the odds of winning against the house are against you, say 70/30, then you want to make that 30 count and win a million on it on one single bet. If you have to repeat the successful bet or even double up on losing, then you are compounding the odds against you, 140/60, 210/90, 280/120, 350/150. Over a five bet run, the house has gone from forty chances more than you to win, to two hundred chances more than you to win. Statistically speaking, any linear multi bet strategy is a guaranteed losing streak.
Gamba 15 Jul @ 4:48am 
There's one constant in life: the house always win. No matter how smart you think you are, if you gamble in a long enough timeframe you will be in a loss.
Like I said before. If it worked then everyone would be doing it.
if this system were effective, then you would be better off doing the inverse instead.

bet $1, lose, bet $0.50, lose, bet $0.25, lose...bet $0.12, win. Bet $0.06, win.

eventually your losses are so minimal and your wins so arbitrary that it's inevitable you will begin gaining money.

this is how wall street ai trades.

you do occasionally need to pony up another $1 though. ie, stimulus.
Last edited by rabapraba p; 15 Jul @ 4:55am
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