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Also, I don't know if I can be especially helpful - I still don't have a decent grasp on prices myself - but here are a few pointers:
There are a lot of things to look for, and as you know by now it's real easy to get scammed. It's late at night and there are too many for me to enumerate right now. I'd recommend just avoiding cashing trades entirely until you get a better grasp on identifying people who will scam you.
I've had a peculiar way of dealing with unusuals over the past year, in that I'm really picky and seldom even so much as express interest unless I really want it, but then end up keeping it forever instead of reselling if I manage to get it. Hence I haven't had as much exposure as I'd have liked, which I'm working on changing as of recent.
Check the item history on multiple item trackers. TF2OP and backpack.tf are the main ones. To find a dupe, check the inventory of each person in the history; if 2 or more people have that item with the same original ID, it's duped. Note backpack.tf often has backpacks cached, so it can falsely flag items as dupes if it sees something move without refreshing the previous owner's backpack.
I guess you can add me for a little while. I'm about to head to bed, and I have a long busy day tomorrow, and I feel like there are better sources you can learn from than me, plus I usually keep my friends list to mostly people I either have business with or I know in person so don't be offended if I eventually remove you. There's a course that will probably open up again in the next few weeks called Mann Co University[manncotrading.com] where you can get some pointers for identifying scammer alts. Save you another 120 keys...