The guide is intended for familiarization purposes and is not suitable for actual skin evaluation.
The Heat Treated Desert Eagle was released like Limited Edition Item on October 3, 2024. There’s no way to craft it, you can only buy it for 25 stars during the operation. Forged in fire, each Heat Treated Desert Eagle is unique in its wear and pattern.

Thanks BrongoCS[x.com] for this image

On the first day of operation, we received approximately 2000 purchased Heat Treated Desert Eagles.

So, in 103 days, we’ve gotten approximately 200000 Heat Treated Desert Eagles.
If we calculate the drop percentage of the most beautiful bluegem patterns with good float, we get the following: 200000 * 5% (approximate amount of tier 1 bluegem patterns) * 30% (FN 3% + MW 27%) = ≈3,000 Bluegem tier 1 patterns.
So, we can realize that the purest bluegems will be worth a lot of money over time.

Day 2 made us realize that there is a strong hype going on right now for this Desert Eagle, and we may have a lot of very interesting bluegems.

I went through all 1000 patterns of this skin and chose the most interesting ones.
(My tier list is based on subjective opinion. Therefore, please consider it as a personal perspective.)
I would also like to point out that the cleaner your bluegem is (tier 1-2), the more it will cost.
All bluegem pattern percentages were taken from the website CSBLUEGEM[csbluegem.com]

Tier 1 (90-95% blue, pure color)

Pattern 16 67.76%

Pattern 48 64.28%

Pattern 66 67.54%

Pattern 67 68.23%

Pattern 69 73.38%

Pattern 96 67.83%

Pattern 111 59.31%

Pattern 117 62.12%

Pattern 148 74.23%

Pattern 159 66.45%

Pattern 259 66.35%

Pattern 263 67.17%

Pattern 273 67.99%

Pattern 297 68.76%

Pattern 308 70.69%

Pattern 321 67.26%

Pattern 324 65.94%

Pattern 341 69.56%

Pattern 347 66.59%

Pattern 461 67.91%

Pattern 482 67.11%

Pattern 490 75.09%

Pattern 517 69.87%

Pattern 530 68.51%

Pattern 567 71.58%

Pattern 587 66.28%

Pattern 674 69.68%

Pattern 695 67.54%

Pattern 704 73.29%

Pattern 723 70.72%

Pattern 764 63.28%

Pattern 772 67.13%

Pattern 781 69.17%

Pattern 790 67.49%

Pattern 792 67.61%

Pattern 843 65.91%

Pattern 880 61.66%

Pattern 885 69.07%

Pattern 904 68.9%

Pattern 948 68.62%

Pattern 990 68.26%

Tier 2 (80-90% blue)

Pattern 354 55.52%

Pattern 356 57.26%

Pattern 365 46.23%

Pattern 370 62.05%

Pattern 386 49.46%

Pattern 406 63.92%

Pattern 426 65.75%

Pattern 542 60.28%

Pattern 611 49.8%

Pattern 651 66.67%

Pattern 673 47.97%

Pattern 730 59.05%

Pattern 876 61.55%

Pattern 882 60.19%

Pattern 953 49.37%

Tier 3 (>80% blue, blaze)

Pattern 109

Pattern 116

Pattern 134

Pattern 158

Pattern 225

Pattern 338

Pattern 433

Pattern 441

Pattern 483

Pattern 537

Pattern 592

Pattern 607

Pattern 668

Pattern 696

Pattern 743

Pattern 820

Pattern 846

Pattern 856

Pattern 857

Pattern 870

Pattern 878

Pattern 898

Pattern 900

Pattern 925

Pattern 942

Pattern 946

Pattern 951

Pattern 970

Pattern 998

In conclusion, I can say that bluegem (tier 1-2) patterns will make up no more than ~5% of the total supply, and the total beautiful bluegem (tier 1-3) patterns will be no more than ~10% of the total supply, which will greatly affect the price formation after the operation is completed.
The three best patterns according to CSBLUEGEM[csbluegem.com] are 490, 148 and 69.
Note that Valve has given us a timer until the end of the operation, which is 103 days.

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