Mount & Blade: Warband

Mount & Blade: Warband

Nova Aetas
Maj. Issue 8 Dec, 2017 @ 11:07pm
Nova Aetas 5.0 Crusade/Jihad
Hi, first of all, sorry to bother you with this question.

I read in some threads that the crusade/jihad possibilites triggered is 5% or 1 every 20 weeks, right? Which is mean.... it would triggered at least 1 time every 140 days, right?

Mine already day 216 and the crusade event never triggered....
Game condition: Rhodoks=eliminated, Swadia at war with Zendar, Mithridias, Nordic Union, Mithridias at war with Swadia and Sarranid, Sarranid at war with Mithridias and Turguhn, and the rest factions are at peace..........does it somehow affect the crusade event? Is there any other terms for it to be triggered? Or it possibilites to appear had been changed it version 5.0?

Thanks in advance