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1st: you are in the wrong forum.
2nd: almost everything you say is wrong.
Try that post in the bptf forum and see what happens... your theories will either be shred into pieces or you will be left alone because you are so obviously wrong and no one cares anymore.
You do know that they have a new forum, that is not on the steam platform?
edit: sorry for being so harsh, but that futile complaining about the Key price and the many false assumptions commonly made are tiresome by now.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/blog/4/entry-1-to-those-saying-that-the-supply-of-keys-is-unlimited/
Those are the most recent more or less related to your post. Others and I also made posts in the old forum (on steam), explaining why the price of Keys in Metal is rising (Community Market), why some items are priced in Metal (Craftables), some in Keys (Promos), why some change their Metal price similar to the price of Keys (ToD Ticket) and some not (Bill's Hat), and why that is fair, even for the "poor" - but I can't find them right now.
edit:
https://steamhost.cn/steamcommunity_com/groups/meetthestats/discussions/1/864958451431552725/
https://steamhost.cn/steamcommunity_com/groups/meetthestats/discussions/0/864960353851515483/
There is no Key price inflation. Inflation is an overall increase in price of goods, not just one or a few items.
The main thing is, that it does not matter what the Key price is, you still buy the bill's for 8 Keys and the common craft hat for 1.33 ref, e.g.
There may be edge cases that are nominated in Metal but are more linked to keys (ToD, Voucher) and the other way around, but those relatively quickly adjust their price as the Key price changes. (or rather as metal loses value in real money)
People with higher value items do not get "richer". They may be able to afford more craft hats / have more metal, but in terms of their interest (high value items) their buying power does not change.
People with low value items do not get "poorer", they can still have the same buying power for their low value items.
And the ones in between, well you win some you lose some.
The only thing is, if you want to cross over from low value to high value, you would have to invest more craft hats to buy a bill's, e.g.
But since most traders do that by initially investing real money, nothing much has changed. It is even an advantage that Keys have a high value in Metal, as you can afford to buy more low value items for the Key you bought in Mann Co. or the new Community Market.
Just because you list something in Metal does not mean it is paid in Metal and vice versa.
You cannot force items that are somehow more linked to Keys than Metal (like craftables) to have a more "stable" value in Metal by just listing it in Metal. All you will accomplish is that all these items need frequent price updates.
The only ones truly losing here are Metal farmers, and I think we all agree that does not concern the rest of us.
I have a bunch of metal that I can convert to keys for 3.33, no problem. I stop trading for 1-2 weeks and when I come back I look at bp.tf and keys are 3.66, what the hell? Ok, I'll just convert them now before the price changes again, herp derp. But wait.. everyone is selling for 3.88 or 4 ref and people are already buying for 3.77 or more, hell I must get rid of my metal fast. All the ones selling for 3.88 are out of stock, after endless hours of searching I give up and buy keys at 4 ref. That will go on bp.tf as proof that keys do sell for 4 ref and soon another price change occurs. Cycle continues.
It's easy to spot this trend and those with large amounts of metal will want to convert their keys asap so they all join the bandwagon, increasing the demand for keys and thus devaluing metal. There will be a point where it will just be unfeasible to convert metal into keys but where will it stop? At 5 ref? 6 ref? or maybe 9.33?
I wish backpack.tf didn't price keys in metal. At all. Then people would have to get up their comfy chair and do some research before they see what keys really go for. It's not that hard to put a key and a ref in the search field and look at 2-3 pages and get a basic idea of a key's value in metal.
Supply and demand are what determines the price, and bptf does not have an effect on both.
But I am not going into that discussion again why that is. I and so many others have explained that so many times by now.
Only way to prove me (and you) right or wrong is to set up a parallel universe where bp.tf or other spreadsheets never existed and see what happens when people have to follow their common sense rather than prices set in stone by others.
Does not look like you are getting "poorer" to me at all.
No, you greatly overestimate their influence, especially for high volume items like Keys. Price guides (bptf too) have been around before. Did that lead to a rapid increase in the price?
Again, the Key market is very competitive with high volumes. Basic 101 economics of supply and demand is what sets the price, not any guide by a long shot.
I know that people just don't want to get that into their heads for whatever reason and rather blame sth / so else. That is why I will not argue about this any more.