I have been enjoying the semi-realistic mode, to the point where I dug into the files and calculated the probabilities of each path.

Some thoughts on this...
- Most countries that attack USA have a chance not to... in fact, Japan and Mexico are really the only ones with foci to. There should probably be some check to see if Mexico doesn't go fascist and Japan doesn't go historical, then USA shouldn't go neutrality path. You *want* them to enter the game at some point.
- On the other hand, why is the USA more likely to go Democratic Interventionist than Historical?
- Given the feelings in India towards the British at the time, and the fact that influential figures in the Indian Independence Movement created an army that supported Germany and became part of the Waffen SS, there should definitely be a chance for India to go fascist. (See Indian Legion and Indian National Army)
- The chance for Japan to go monarchist is probably too high. The Young Officer Rebellion was honestly nowhere near likely to succeed; while it should be a semirealistic possibility, it shouldn't be 46.7% between the two possibilities.

Germany
57.7% GER_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST
26.9% GER_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_ALTERNATE_2
15.4% GER_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_ALTERNATE

Italy
29.9% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_HISTORICAL
19.9% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_MUSSOLINI_POS_AGGR
16.9% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_MUSSOLINI_IF_DIPLO
10.2% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_MUSSOLINI_IF_GI
2.6% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_BALBO_IF_GI
2.5% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_GRANDI_GA_SF
2.0% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_GRANDI_POS_DIPLO
1.9% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_BALBO_IF_DIPLO
1.5% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_GRANDI_GA_SF_AGGR
1.4% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_MUSSOLINI_IF_ROME
1.4% ITA_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALLIES_PLAN
1.4% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_BALBO_POS_DIPLO
1.0% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_GRANDI_GA
0.9% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_BALBO_GA_SF
0.9% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_GRANDI_POS_AGGR
0.7% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_MUSSOLINI_GA
0.7% ITA_AI_RANDOM_CHRISTIAN_DEMOCRACY_POS
0.7% ITA_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_KING_POS
0.6% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_GRANDI_IF_GI
0.5% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_MUSSOLINI_GA_SF
0.5% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_MUSSOLINI_GA_SF_AGGR
0.5% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_BALBO_IF_ROME
0.5% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_BALBO_GA_SF_AGGR
0.4% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_BALBO_GA
0.4% ITA_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_GRANDI_IF_DIPLO

China (Path)
99.8% CHI_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
0.2% CHI_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC
China (Behavior)
95.2% CHI_AI_RANDOM_FOCUS_HISTORICAL
4.8% CHI_AI_RANDOM_UNITED_FRONT

Manchuko
76.9% MAN_AI_RANDOM_OBEDIENCE
23.1% MAN_AI_RANDOM_CHINESE_LEADERSHIP

Communist China
92.8% PRC_AI_RANDOM_MAOIST
7.2% PRC_AI_RANDOM_MARXIST_ORTHODOXY

Soviet Union
46.6% SOV_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_HISTORICAL
24.8% SOV_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_STALIN_ALTERNATE
6.2% SOV_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_STALIN_AGGRESSIVE
6.2% SOV_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_LEFT_TROTSKY
6.2% SOV_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_RIGHT_BUKHARIN
5.0% SOV_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_LEFT_OPPOSITION_COOPERATIVE
5.0% SOV_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_RIGHT_OPPOSITION_COOPERATIVE

France
76.3% FRA_AI_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL
13.6% FRA_AI_DEMOCRATIC_ALTERNATE
5.5% FRA_AI_COMMUNIST
3.0% FRA_AI_DEMOCRATIC_STRESA_FRONT
1.6% FRA_AI_DEMOCRATIC_FRANCO_SOVIET_TREATY

Japan
40.0% JAP_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST
13.3% JAP_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_ALTERNATE
20.0% JAP_AI_RANDOM_NEUTRALITY_SHOGUN
26.7% JAP_AI_RANDOM_NEUTRALITY_SHOWA

Romania
30.1% ROM_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_HISTORICAL
30.1% ROM_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_ALTERNATE
20.3% ROM_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST
19.5% ROM_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC

Hungary
37.5% HUN_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_HISTORICAL
35.7% HUN_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_KING
26.8% HUN_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_ALTERNATE

Czechoslovakia
37.5% CZE_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC
37.5% CZE_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
18.8% CZE_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALTERNATE
6.2% CZE_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_PUPPET

Yugoslavia
32.5% YUG_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
25.0% YUG_AI_RANDOM_BIGGER_NEUTRAL
20.0% YUG_AI_RANDOM_SMALLER_NEUTRAL
12.5% YUG_AI_RANDOM_SPLIT_I_NEUTRAL_LEAGUE
5.0% YUG_AI_RANDOM_SPLIT_I_NEUTRAL
5.0% YUG_AI_RANDOM_SPLIT_U_NEUTRAL

Australia
100.0% AST_AI_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL

Canada
58.3% CAN_AI_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL
41.7% CAN_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALTERNATE

South Africa
41.4% SAF_AI_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL
34.5% SAF_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALTERNATE
13.8% SAF_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST
10.3% SAF_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST

New Zealand
94.1% NZL_AI_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL
5.9% NZL_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALTERNATE

India
100.0% RAJ_AI_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL

Poland
35.0% POL_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
23.3% POL_AI_RANDOM_CASTLE_ALLIES
11.7% POL_AI_RANDOM_CASTLE_LIT_ALLY
11.7% POL_AI_RANDOM_LEFT_ALLIES
11.7% POL_AI_RANDOM_RIGHT_ALLIES
1.8% POL_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC
1.2% POL_AI_RANDOM_RIGHT_OZON
1.2% POL_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_SSR_LOYAL
1.2% POL_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST
0.7% POL_AI_RANDOM_LEFT_BALTIC
0.5% POL_AI_RANDOM_COMMONWEALTH_ALLIES

England
58.8% ENG_AI_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL
39.2% ENG_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALTERNATE
2.0% ENG_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_DECOLONIZE

USA
40.3% USA_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_INTERVENTION
32.3% USA_AI_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL
27.4% USA_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_NEUTRALITY

Netherlands
69.0% HOL_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_HISTORICAL
13.8% HOL_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_AXIS
8.6% HOL_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALTERNATE_1
8.6% HOL_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALTERNATE_2

Mexico
60.2% MEX_AI_SECULAR_REPUBLIC
36.1% MEX_AI_SOCIAL_CATHOLICISM
3.7% MEX_AI_FASCIST_DICTATORSHIP

Spain (Outcome)
39.1% SPR_AI_RANDOM_NATIONALIST_HISTORICAL
24.6% SPR_AI_RANDOM_FALANGIST
18.8% SPR_AI_RANDOM_STALINIST
17.5% SPR_AI_RANDOM_SECOND_REPUBLIC
Spain (Nationalist Behavior)
35.0% SPA_AI_RANDOM_NATIONALIST_HISTORICAL
30.0% SPA_AI_RANDOM_NATIONALIST_AXIS
20.0% SPA_AI_RANDOM_NATIONALIST_LATIN_BLOC
15.0% SPA_AI_RANDOM_NATIONALIST_ALLIES
Spain (Falangist Behavior)
100.0% SPA_AI_RANDOM_FALANGIST_AXIS
Spain (Second Republic)
62.5% SPD_AI_RANDOM_SECOND_REPUBLIC_LOYALIST
37.5% SPD_AI_RANDOM_SECOND_REPUBLIC_ALLIES
Spain (Stalinist)
100.0% SPD_AI_RANDOM_STALINIST

Portugal
63.5% POR_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
31.7% POR_AI_RANDOM_ANGLO_PORTUGESE
3.2% POR_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC
1.6% POR_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_IBERIAN_SUMMIT

Bulgaria
31.7% BUL_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
22.0% BUL_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST
19.5% BUL_AI_RANDOM_BALKAN_PRUSSIA
17.1% BUL_AI_RANDOM_REGENCY_COUNCIL
9.7% BUL_AI_RANDOM_BORIS_ALLIES

Greece
38.4% GRE_AI_RANDOM_NEUTRALITY_HISTORICAL
20.0% GRE_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC
15.0% GRE_AI_RANDOM_MONARCHIST_ALTERNATE
13.3% GRE_AI_RANDOM_MONARCHIST
13.3% GRE_AI_RANDOM_FASCISM

Turkey (Ideology)
30.8% TUR_AI_RANDOM_IDEO_KEMALIST_NEUTRAL
15.4% TUR_AI_RANDOM_IDEO_KEMALIST_NATIONALIST
15.4% TUR_AI_RANDOM_IDEO_FUNDAMENTALIST_NEUTRAL
15.4% TUR_AI_RANDOM_IDEO_FUNDAMENTALIST_NATIONALIST
12.3% TUR_AI_RANDOM_IDEO_DEMOCRATIC_KEMALIST
10.7% TUR_AI_RANDOM_IDEO_DEMOCRATIC_FUNDAMENTALIST
Turkey (Alignment)
78.6% TUR_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
7.2% TUR_AI_RANDOM_ALLIES
7.2% TUR_AI_RANDOM_AXIS
7.2% TUR_AI_RANDOM_COMINTERN
Turkey (Foreign Policy)
75.0% TUR_AI_RANDOM_FP_PEACE
20.0% TUR_AI_RANDOM_FP_AGGR
5.0% TUR_AI_RANDOM_FP_TURAN

Lithuania
42.6% LIT_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
21.3% LIT_AI_RANDOM_OCCUPATION
17.0% LIT_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC
10.6% LIT_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_SSR
6.4% LIT_AI_RANDOM_JUNTA_ALLIES
2.1% LIT_AI_RANDOM_LTS_BALTIC_ENTENTE

Latvia
25.0% LAT_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
16.7% LAT_AI_RANDOM_OCCUPATION
16.7% LAT_AI_RANDOM_FP
16.7% LAT_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC
10.0% LAT_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_SSR
8.2% LAT_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_RK_BALTIC
5.0% LAT_AI_RANDOM_JUNTA_ALLIES
1.7% LAT_AI_RANDOM_FP_BALTIC_ENTENTE

Estonia
35.7% EST_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
21.4% EST_AI_RANDOM_OCCUPATION
17.9% EST_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC
12.5% EST_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_AXIS
10.7% EST_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST_SSR
1.8% EST_AI_RANDOM_PL_BALTIC_ENTENTE

Ethiopia (Path)
30.9% ETH_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
12.3% ETH_AI_RANDOM_LEAVE_AFRICAN_UNION
12.3% ETH_AI_RANDOM_IMPERIAL_SOLOMON
10.3% ETH_AI_RANDOM_LEAVE_FEDERAL_AFRICAN_UNION
8.2% ETH_AI_RANDOM_LEAVE_PAN_AFRICAN
7.4% ETH_AI_RANDOM_COLLABORATIONIST
6.2% ETH_AI_RANDOM_IMPERIAL_AFRICAN_UNION
6.2% ETH_AI_RANDOM_IMPERIAL_AFRICAN_UNION_FEDERAL
6.2% ETH_AI_RANDOM_IMPERIAL_PAN_AFRICAN
Ethiopia (Host)
25.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_DEFAULT
18.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_ENG_SOMALIA
12.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_ENG_PALESTINE
12.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_SWE_ALLIES
8.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_SWE_NEUTRAL
8.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_JAP_ISLAND
7.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_JAP_ARABIA
7.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_GER_MEDIATE
3.0% ETH_HOST_AI_RANDOM_GER_SABOTAGE

Afar
66.7% AFA_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
22.2% AFA_AI_RANDOM_FIGHT_ITA
11.1% AFA_AI_RANDOM_SUBMIT

Switzerland
37.7% SWI_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
18.8% SWI_AI_RANDOM_NEUTRALITY_MARTIAL_LAW
16.7% SWI_AI_RANDOM_NEUTRALITY_ALTERNATE
10.5% SWI_AI_RANDOM_NEUTRALITY_PRO_ALLIES
8.4% SWI_AI_RANDOM_NEUTRALITY_PRO_AXIS
2.5% SWI_AI_RANDOM_SECRET_ALLIES
2.5% SWI_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_PUPPET
1.0% SWI_AI_RANDOM_FASCIST_AXIS
1.0% SWI_AI_RANDOM_VORARLBERG
0.9% SWI_AI_RANDOM_ALLIED_DEMOCRATIC

Sweden
52.6% SWE_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
47.4% SWE_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALT

Finland
100.0% FIN_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL

Norway
100.0% NOR_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL

Denmark
54.5% DEN_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
45.5% DEN_AI_RANDOM_ALLIANCE_PLAN

Iceland
58.0% ICE_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
42.0% ICE_AI_RANDOM_ALT_DEMOCRATIC_PLAN

Chile
100.0% CHL_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL

Brazil
71.4% BRA_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
28.6% BRA_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC

Paraguay
40.0% PAR_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
30.0% PAR_AI_RANDOM_COMMUNIST
30.0% PAR_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC

Uruguay
50.0% URG_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC_ALT
50.0% URG_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL

Argentina
73.3% ARG_AI_RANDOM_HISTORICAL
26.7% ARG_AI_RANDOM_DEMOCRATIC